TRACK RECORD
The desk's record, in numbers, with the receipts linked.
This page is the desk's record. It reports how many GTA 6 claims the desk tracks and the verdict each one holds, the claims the desk has killed on its own evidence, the corrections it has logged, and the adjudication latency it tracks, every figure read off the live register.
The numbers
Every figure is a live count off the register, not a stored total.
51 claims tracked
- Confirmed 12
- Corroborated 16
- Watching 19
- Contested 1
- Killed 3
A verdict distribution is not an accuracy score. The desk does not publish a hit-rate, because most claims sit open and a register of verdicts cannot ground one. What it can show is the count of claims it holds at each verdict, and whether it retires and corrects them. The verdict ladder is set out at /methodology.
THE STRONGEST CREDIBILITY SIGNAL
The desk kills its own claims
A kill is a state transition on the claim, recorded when the desk's own evidence retires it.
The desk has killed 3 of the claims it tracked. A killed claim is not deleted. It keeps its chain, and the autopsy sets out the evidence that retired it.
The desk corrects itself
A correction is a transparency artifact about a published surface, logged with its before and after.
The desk has logged 2 corrections. The most recent corrects Claim register · gta6-may-12-preorder-cohort-prediction. Each entry keeps the original wording, the corrected wording, and the reasoning that put it on the ledger.
How fast, and who was right
The desk measures its own adjudication latency and reconciles the outlets it tracks against the register.
+2d 1h
median time from first observation to verdict, across 33 adjudicated claims.
10
outlets reconciled against the desk's claims, with each outlet's confirmed, corroborated, and killed appearances counted.
The desk's adjudicated reads
The synthesis surfaces, where the desk groups a contested cluster and shows its read at the current verdicts.
- The GTA 6 release window
The desk's read of the November 19, 2026 contention, grouped by what each claim says about the date and shown at its current verdict.
- The GTA 6 preorder status
The desk's skeptical read of the preorder question, where the strongest signal on the register is a confirmed platform-holder silence and every specific date has failed.
How the desk works
The verdict ladder, the evidence tiers, and the standard each claim is held to.
Every number on this page follows from a method. The desk sets out the verdict ladder, the source tiers, and the kill and confirm conditions at /methodology, and the operator provenance at /about. The full set of ways to check the desk, these numbers included, is collected at /verify.