KILL AUTOPSY KILLED 2026-05-18
GTA 6 pre-orders open on May 12, 2026
The kill condition this claim carried on the register fired: "2026-05-12T23:59:59Z passes with no Rockstar Newswire pre-order announcement on GTA 6".
What the claim said
The statement as it entered the register, and who carried it first.
The cohort predicted May 12 pre-orders at £69.99; that day elapsed without a Rockstar announcement. The May 18 to 21 Best Buy email window is a separate related claim, not a rescue condition for this May-12 prediction.
- First carried by
- r/GamingLeaksAndRumours r/GamingLeaksAndRumours reveal compilation thread (May 12 prediction)
- First observation
- Entered the register
- Watching on
Who carried it
The chain rows that carried the claim, in tier order.
-
r/GamingLeaksAndRumours reveal compilation thread (May 12 prediction)
What killed it
The evidence that retired the claim, and the condition it was tested against.
-
Rockstar Newswire feed: no GTA 6 pre-order post in the May-12 window
2026-05-12T23:59:59Z passes with no Rockstar Newswire pre-order announcement on GTA 6
Kill transition, from the record
The 2026-05-12T23:59:59Z kill condition fired: no Rockstar Newswire pre-order announcement on GTA 6 was published on or before May 12. Operator review on 2026-05-18 confirms no pre-orders opened during the May-12 window. The May 18 to 21 Best Buy email window is tracked as a separate related claim (gta6-best-buy-preorder-may-18-21-claim); a later cohort signal predicting a different window is not evidence the May-12 prediction was correct, so May 18 does not retroactively rescue May 12. Confidence band held at tier 3 unverified because the register's band vocabulary has no killed-specific value; the band reflects the claim's source tier (a tier 3 community cohort prediction), not its verification status, which is killed/verified-false. Band-vocabulary gap registered as a known semantic imprecision.
Verdict ladder
The clock
Dates from the record. The desk discloses its own latency.
- Claim opened
- Window stated
- Window lapsed
- Kill logged
The desk logged the kill 6 days after the window lapsed.
Desk note
This was the register's first kill. The prediction entered on a single tier 3 carrier, the cohort compilation thread, and never picked up a higher tier. The stated deadline passed on May 12 and the operator confirmed the kill on May 18, six days later. The kill record refused the available rescue: the May 18 to 21 Best Buy window is tracked as a separate claim, and a later cohort signal predicting a different window is not evidence the May 12 prediction was correct. The same record discloses a vocabulary gap: the register has no killed-specific confidence band, so the band stays tier 3 unverified while the verdict reads killed.
What the register did next
Where this claim's thread continues.