Source-chain latency
Generated 2026-06-20 11:22 UTC
Lead-time ledger
Lead-time is measured to test our source-chain latency, not to claim universal first-publication status. The lead-time ledger compares verified outlet publication timestamps with the first Radar Six observation timestamp for the same claim.
The verified sample is small and grows only as rows clear operator verification. Read the medians as early signal, not a settled track record.
1 candidate row withheld pending operator verification.
Median lead time
+3d 20h
median of 4 outlet medians
Tracked outlets
4
Verified claim rows
6
Negative lead-time rows
2
Evidence to verdict
Lead time measures who published first. This table measures what the desk does with the evidence afterwards: how long each claim takes to move from first captured observation to a verdict on the ladder. A published report is not a verdict; outlet rows above carry publication timestamps only.
- Median evidence to verdict
- +2d 1h
- Adjudicated claims
- 33
- Still at watching
- 18
- p25 / p75
- +2h 19m +8d 9h
Per-outlet summary
| Outlet | Claims | Median lead time | Median distribution | p25 | p75 | Negative rows |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg | 1 | +7d 7h | +7d 7h | +7d 7h | 0 | |
| Eurogamer | 2 | -8d 10h | -8d 19h | -8d 19h | 2 | |
| IGN | 1 | +7d 7h | +7d 7h | +7d 7h | 0 | |
| VGC | 1 | +9h 34m | +9h 34m | +9h 34m | 0 |
Per-claim ledger
GTA 6 pre-orders open May 18 to 21 per a claimed Best Buy affiliate email
- VGC +9h 34m 2026-05-14 09:34 UTC Best Buy tells affiliates it’s starting GTA 6 pre-orders next week, sparking speculation that a new trailer is coming Match basis: automatic URL match
GTA 6 release window is console-first by design
- Eurogamer -8d 2h 2026-05-05 09:15 UTC GTA 6 lands PlayStation 5 marketing deal, as Take-Two head implies PC is not Rockstar's "core" audience Match basis: automatic URL match
GTA 6 anchors Take-Two Fiscal 2027 revenue guidance
- Insider Gaming +106d 20h 2026-05-21 20:13 UTC Take-Two Forecasts $8 Billion in Revenue In Its Next Fiscal Year Thanks to GTA 6 Match basis: operator-verified match media echo
Take-Two FY27 guidance predates this media framing; row retained as media-echo latency, excluded from median lead-time.
- Insider Gaming +106d 20h 2026-05-21 20:13 UTC Take-Two Forecasts $8 Billion in Revenue In Its Next Fiscal Year Thanks to GTA 6 Match basis: operator-verified match media echo
GTA 6 launches November 19, 2026
- Bloomberg +7d 7h 2026-05-21 20:22 UTC Take-Two Confirms November Debut for Grand Theft Auto VI Match basis: operator-verified match
- Eurogamer 0m 2026-05-14 13:15 UTC After numerous delays, new GTA 6 pre-order leaks suggest November release date finally locked in, and further delays unlikely Match basis: automatic URL match exact-ms collision
Eurogamer article directly covers Nov 19 launch date, but exact millisecond parity suggests imported/source-derived timestamp; excluded from headline lead-time until provenance is verified.
- IGN +7d 7h 2026-05-21 20:17 UTC Take-Two Commits to GTA 6 Release Date Match basis: operator-verified match
Sony nudges PS4 owners to PS5 ahead of GTA 6
- Eurogamer -8d 19h 2026-05-10 16:35 UTC GTA 6 hopefuls encouraged by Sony to upgrade to PS5 now Match basis: automatic URL match
Take-Two reports Q4 and Fiscal Year 2026 results on May 21, 2026
- Insider Gaming +28d 16h 2026-05-21 16:24 UTC GTA 6 Marketing Plan Reflects Where Audiences and Attention is Today, Says Take-Two CEO Match basis: operator-verified match media echo
Take-Two FY27 guidance predates this media framing; row retained as media-echo latency, excluded from median lead-time.
- Insider Gaming +28d 16h 2026-05-21 16:24 UTC GTA 6 Marketing Plan Reflects Where Audiences and Attention is Today, Says Take-Two CEO Match basis: operator-verified match media echo